BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Fayetteville St

Class: 2 Class Rank: 99 Conference: Central Intercollegiate Athletic Association Record: (8-1) Overall: (9-3) Overall Strength =   90.95

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/03/2022 Home    W    85.52  15  13    2 113 (  5-  6) UNC-Pembroke           -5.30      7.30                      
  2 09/10/2022 Home    L    89.48   3  21    2  25 ( 11-  3) Wingate                -1.34    -16.66                      
  3 09/17/2022 Away    W *  88.73  19   7    2 145 (  2-  7) Lincoln PA             -2.09     14.09                      
  4 09/24/2022 Home    L *  99.15  28  31    2  75 (  9-  2) Virginia Union          8.33    -11.33                      
  5 09/29/2022 Home    W *  91.89  13  10    2 103 (  7-  4) Chowan                  1.07      1.93                      
  6 10/08/2022 Home    W * 107.25  54   0    2 158 (  1-  9) St Augustine's         16.42 *   37.58                      
  7 10/15/2022 Away    W * 103.21  44   7    2 160 (  4-  6) Livingstone            12.39     24.61                      
  8 10/22/2022 Away    W *  83.47  21  13    2 149 (  2-  7) Johnson C. Smith       -7.36     15.36                      
  9 10/29/2022 Home    W *  85.90  28  20    2 126 (  4-  6) Shaw                   -4.92     12.92                      
 10 11/05/2022 Away    W *  86.16  14   6    2 143 (  3-  6) Winston-Salem St       -4.66     12.66                      
 11 11/12/2022 Away    W *  96.03  31  28    2 103 (  7-  4) Chowan                  5.20     -2.20                      
 12 11/19/2022 Away    L    73.09   0  51    2  13 ( 11-  2) Delta St              -17.73 *  -33.27                      
      Averages              90.82  22.5 17.2

Best game:  107.25 = 54 point win over St Augustine's
Worst game:  73.09 = 51 point loss to Delta St
Team stdev:   9.39